Angola is Miss Universe 2011

September 13th, 2011

Miss Universe 2011

Miss Angola Leila Lopes was crowned the 60th Miss Universe tonight. Ukraine was 1st Runner Up, Brazil 2nd, Philippines 3rd, and my gut pick China 4th. While I was completely off in picking this year’s winner, it was otherwise a good year overall with me predicting 12 out of the 16 finalists, 14 if you count alternates. I’m shocked that Malaysia was not one of the 16 semifinalists, what’s up with that? Could Miss Universe be punishing former Miss World contestants? Portugal on the other hand earned the 16th semis slot by winning the Internet vote.

This is the first win for Angola at Miss Universe since it first started participating in 1998 and the fourth Miss Universe for Africa.

Miss Universe 2011 Predictions

September 12th, 2011

Miss Universe 2011 Logo

It is the night before the 2011 Miss Universe pageant…

I’m having terrible allergies so this is a pain to write…

MISS UNIVERSE

1. Malaysia (PERSONAL PICK):

Miss Malaysia 2011

If Miss Universe maintained its previous format that put a greater stress on smarts (with Top 10 & Top 5 interviews and a Top 3 Final Question) then there’d no doubt in my mind that Deborah Henry would be crowned Miss Universe this year. These days however, you’ll need a beautiful face, a great body, a great dress and mad modeling skills to get you through the two cuts needed for you to even get a chance to open your mouth and answer a question.

This aside, I still believe Malaysia’s chances are high. Both stunning and really smart, Deborah has performed consitently throughout the duration of the pageant exuding much grace and elegance. She’s been steadily building up the momentum and I feel like she’s got some fuel saved up to shine extra bright on pageant night. Get her to do that and the Miss Universe crown is all hers.

1. China (GUT PICK):

Miss China 2011

Ever since she arrived in São Paolo I’ve had a gut feeling that Luo Zilin would take the crown. One of the tallest delegates competing this year, China has the most awesome bodies in the pageant with killer abs and stunning long legs. She’s also tops in terms of physical beauty and her rockin stage presence. As a side note there’s been plenty of buzz about her so much so that it feels she is already being primed to be the next Miss Universe. Either way I would be really happy to see an Asian take home the crown this year. But rumors of favoritism aside, if she can answer the final question right then China deserves the win.

TOP 4

3. USA:

When I watched Alyssa Campanella compete and win the Miss USA crown, I knew then and there that she’d be the woman to beat at this year’s Miss Universe pageant and based on everything I’ve seen from the pageant she pretty much remained in that position until her less than spectacular showing at the preliminaries. I don’t know what’s up for sure but she looks to have lost a lot of weight so much so that she looks almost unhealthy. I’m placing her in my Top 4 solely based on previous merit. She’ll will need do things differently on pageant night including: letting her hair down and changing her choice of evening gown and if possible gaining a little bit of weight. Personally I believe Alyssa is one of the most stunning Miss USA’s ever and it would be a shame if she didn’t perform to her potential.

4. Australia:

Natural, fresh and bubbly are the best words that one could use to describe a Miss Australia, not just this year but over the last few years. And this formula seems to be working really well for them with Top 5 finshes in the last two years and a Miss Universe win back in 2004. Not an exception, Scherri-Lee Bigs is another stunner from down under, with that down-to-earth, relaxed vibe going for her. If that is what the judges are looking for come finals night (vs fully prepped Pageant Patty) then these qualities can definitely get her very far.

TOP 8

5. Philippines:

Locally there’s a lot of hype around Shamcey Supsup, and while some say she’ll get in via the popular vote, I think she qualified based on her own merits. To say the least she was really on fire during the preliminaries. We all know she is smart enough to handle the final question also.

6 Netherlands:

One of the loveliest faces of the competition. A blond bombshell Kelly Weekers did very well during the prelims, and is really a sight to behold. I think she’s just missing that oomph that I think is needed to really stand out on stage, but maybe that’s just me nitpicking. Having said that I still see her going far in the competition. She wore this really cool dress for her evening gown portrait on the Miss Universe website but didn’t use it during the prelims, I hope she wears it on pageant night.

7. Venezuela:

You gotta hand it to pageant powerhouse Venezuela to send the most prepared delegates so much so that while she may not be as beautiful of many of the front runners here, Vanessa Goncalves was able to turn in an amazing performance during the preliminaries, and was one of the best of the night. I would have placed her higher on my list but am not really digging her look.

8. Costa Rica

I love her smile and bubbly personality. She is also one of the most beautiful delegates and probably the best from South America. She has a great body and will definitely do well in swimsuit but was just mediocre in the preliminary evening gown competition with a lousy gown choice. Get her to change that and it will definitely improve her chances of getting further in the competition.

TOP 16

9. Greece: I look at her more as a model than a beauty queen. I know in recent years there have been efforts to move towards the former, but there really is a big difference and I don’t think that is ever going to change. Iliana Papageorgiou does have a great walk and stunning looks but I wish she came to life a bit more on stage. Her evening gown of choice during the prelims was also lousy. But change that and give her a little bit more energy plus a big smile and that will definitely do wonders in getting her further in this competition.

10. Paraguay: One of the best examples that stresses the importance of doing well in the preliminaries. This girl wasn’t on my list throughout the entire competition until I saw how she did in the prelims. She deserves a spot in the Top 16.

11. Peru: Love her bubbly personality and fresh look. She did well during the prelims just like the other “P” nations. Am a bit nervous about naming Panama, Paraguay, Peru, Philippines & Puerto Rico but they all did really well.

12. Puerto Rico: Not one of my favorites but who could overlook her spot on preliminaries performance which included one of the best evening gowns of the night.

13. Panama: The weakest of all the “P” nations but I think overall she did enough to get through to the Top 16. Love her spunk and youthful vibe, although her styling is a bit dated.

14. Ukraine: Traditionally known to do well in the Miss Universe competition. Don’t really consider her a top beauty but I must admit she did quite well during the prelims.

15. Kosovo: The only representative from what I call the Trump favorites group (Albania & Kosovo – whose national director is long-time pageant portrait photographer Fadil Berisha, Czech Republic, and Ukraine) who have seen a combined total of 10 semifinalists over the last 4 years. Aferdita Dreshaj has a stunning body that might get her past 16 into 8 but I feel that she looks a bit too old.

16. Brazil: The hometown girl performed well in the preliminaries. While there are many stunning girls that could take this last spot, I think the support from the Brazilian crowd was able to create a big enough impact to get her through.

ALTERNATES

Angola: she is the strongest black delegate and looks lovely even with hardly any makeup on. She however tripped during her evening gown presentation the sourest note of what I personally believe was a lackluster performance overall. A little bit of energy would have made a world of difference.

France: A strong delegate overall. If Panama, Paraguay or Peru doesn’t make it, I expect her to take one of their slots. If she does make it I hope she changes that white evening gown choice she wore during the prelims.

Nicaragua: Not really photogenic, but I enjoyed her web interviews. I think she came real prepared for this competition.

Mexico: Following in the footsteps of last year’s Miss Universe this girl has plenty to prove. I don’t think she comes with the same kind of spunk Ximena was made off but she’ll do respectable if they put her through just don’t think she did enough.

Russia: Has the face, the body, and even the wardrobe but lacks the energy on stage.

Switzerland: Not really my type beauty-wise but for some reason she’s been tugging at my gut feel all month.

Thailand: She did well overall, but if based solely on her own merit I don’t think she did enough for get her through. But count her in as an alternate c/o a strong Thai popular vote.

Mexico Crowned Miss Universe

August 24th, 2010

As predicted Miss Mexico Ximena Navarrete was crowned Miss Universe 2010. Also predicted 8 out of the 15 semifinalists (plus 3 alternates making the cut). Interestingly USA and Venezuela both didn’t make the cut.

Miss Universe 2010 Predictions

August 24th, 2010

It has been after all a decade since I started publishing Miss Universe predictions online. I would have loved to provide more coverage as I have done in previous years but I am terribly busy. In fact this writeup won’t be as long as usual as I have an important presentation tomorrow that I need to prepare for.

This year’s web coverage has been awesome, with social media pretty much in the mix. There is coverage on Twitter and Facebook, and the Miss Universe pageant is doing a great job posting tons of videos on YouTube and offering live streams via USTREAM.

As usual here’s what my batting average over the last 9 years has been like:

2001: Predicted Miss Universe. 7 out of 10 finalists
2002: Predicted Miss Universe. 6 out of 10 finalists
2003: 12 out of 15 finalists
2004: 10 out of 15 finalists?2005: 11 out of 15 finalists
2006: Predicted Miss Universe. 12 out of 20 finalists
2007: My Miss U pick is 3rd Runner-up. 7 out of 15 finalists (11 counting alternates)
2008: Predicted Miss Universe. 10 out of 15 finalists
2009: My Miss U pick is 1st Runner Up. 9 out of 15 finalists
This year had a superb batch of delegates. A very superb batch compared to what we’ve seen in previous years. The stand outs for me are my Top 4. I’m quite certain that one of these four ladies will take home the next Miss Universe crown this year. But I can only choose two girls one Gut Pick and one Personal Pick.

1. GUT PICK: Mexico: Based on her performance throughout the pageant and during last week’s preliminary competition, the Miss Universe 2010 title is Jimena Navarrete’s to win. She delivered two strong performances during the prelims, I don’t think she needs to change anything at all. All she really needs to do is to win is sustain the momentum going into tonight’s pageant, and keep it cool during the final question. Coincidentally the last time Mexico won at Miss Universe the pageant was also held in Las Vegas.

1. MY PICK: Philippines: I am usually harder on Filipino delegates and subject them to even more intense scrutiny then the other delegates. But this time around allow me the rare opportunity to put a Filipina on top of my list. At first I thought she was just Trump card material having been flown in early to participate in the Miss Universe promotional tour. But as the pageant progressed Venus Raj got stronger and stronger. Although I’m not hot about her prelims evening gown choice, and a bit wary how well she will perform during the final question, Venus should have enough fire in her to take her all the way to the title. I have my toes and fingers crossed.

3. Ireland: Another strong contender Rozanna Purcell is for me the most stunning delegate in the entire competition, reminding me a lot of Angelina Jolie. She trails Mexico just by a tad bit in terms of being my gut pick. She totally rocked the preliminary swimsuit competition – by far she was one of the strongest there. Consider her a shoo in for the final five and a possible winner. I wouldn’t be surprised.

4. Venezuela: Most pageant experts don’t have Marelisa Gibson this high on their list. In fact some don’t even have her on it. But I know better, never count Venezuela out. And I am usually right, last year when people had counted Stefania out, I was one of the few to say she might win the first back to back Miss Universe title for Venezuela, and she did. I love Marelisa’s fresh look and bubbly personality, definitely a plus for any Miss Universe, and basing on the past few winners, am sure its what the organization is looking for also. A three year in a row streak is possible.

The rest of my picks are as follows.

5. USA: Not your typical pageant queen, but a fierce competitor, Rima Fakih is the hometown favorite and has that going for her. She has been styled superbly throughout I think her chances of making the Top 5 are high, but I don’t think she will win the pageant.

6. Colombia: Not drop dead gorgeous, but very sexy and beautiful nonetheless and with a tremendous presence both on stage and in photos. Colombia always makes the semis on even numbered years, I see no reason why Natalia Navarro won’t.

7. Puerto Rico: Well prepared and strong overall I think Mariana Paola Vicente is a shoo in for the top 10. Aside from the Puerto Rico preparation, she carries herself very confidently and is eloquent. Her English is a plus.

8 Jamaica: Tall and bubbly are the words I’d use to describe this pageant veteran. A Miss World semifinalist in 2007 Yendi Philipps made a strong case during the prelims, she’s hard to miss.

9 Dominican Republic: Eva Arias got mixed reviews form pageant pundits, some go as far as saying she has masculine features but I think she’s a strong contender, and will perform very well if she gets into the Top 15. Definitely Top 10 material.

10 Peru: Always below the radar until the preliminary pageant where she shined.
11 Japan: Well prepared and very stylish.
12 Ukraine: Elegant. Did well during prelims. Possible Trump Card.
13 Israel: Gut feel.
14 France: Lovely evening gown.
15 Haiti: Trump Card a great political statement in light of what happened to her country last year.

ANY OF THE FF WOULD MAKE AWESOME ALTERNATES (alphabetical order):

Albania
Brazil
Ghana
Great Britain
Netherlands
Paraguay
Russia
South Africa
Trinidad & Tobago
Thailand

Miss Universe 2010

August 22nd, 2010

Busy, busy. BUT will be posting my usual predictions 24 hours before the pageant. Stay tuned.

Miss Universe 2009 LIVE Blog

August 24th, 2009

Miss Universe: Venezuela
1st Runner Up: Dominican Republic
2nd runner Up: Kosovo
3rd Runner Up: Australia
4th Runner Up: Puerto Rico

TOP 5

Dominican Republic
Australia
Puerto Rico
Venezuela
Kosovo

MISS PHOTOGENIC: THAILAND
MISS CONGENIALITY: CHINA

Special Awardees didn’t even get trophies this year.

New Crown will be PEACE.

TOP 10

Australia
Venezuela
South Africa
Dominican Republic
Kosovo
Czech Republic
Switzerland
Puerto Rico
USA
France

8/10 Very Good!

TOP 15

Puerto Rico
Iceland
Albania
Czech Republic
Belgium
Dominican Republic
Sweden
Kosovo
Australia
France
Switzerland
South Africa
USA
Croatia
Venezuela

Shocking No Asians in the Top 15 This Year. I can see how Kosovo, Iceland, and Sweden got in. But not really convinced about Albania, Croatia and Switzerland. Still shocked about no Asian making the cut. This is bad, really bad. Considering how well Indonesia did.

My batting average is 9/15 this year. Not as good as last year but better than 2007. The important thing is that my top 4 are still there.

Miss Universe 2009 Predictions

August 24th, 2009

Am sorry if this is coming late and without notice. Over the last month I received tons of emails, some have even reached out to me via Twitter and Facebook asking if I would be covering the pageant this year and giving my predictions – some going as far as saying that they trust me the most and will hold out until they have heard from me. To all of you my sincerest thanks for your patronage.

To be completely honest with you I still consider myself an outsider in the pageant coverage circle. I don’t do any year round kind of coverage that most if not all pageant experts do. And I can’t really name, names of former contestants and match that to what they did or how they walked, etc. I do however have an interest in watching the pageant and making a game out of guessing (intelligently) who makes the cut to the Top 15.

In the 9 years that I have been doing this I would like to think that I have a pretty good track record as detailed below.

2001: Predicted Miss Universe. 7 out of 10 finalists
2002: Predicted Miss Universe. 6 out of 10 finalists
2003: 12 out of 15 finalists
2004: 10 out of 15 finalists
2005: 11 out of 15 finalists
2006: Predicted Miss Universe. 12 out of 20 finalists
2007: 7 out of 15 finalists (11 counting alternates)
2008: Predicted Miss Universe. 10 out of 15 finalists

So how do I do this? Like I said I make intelligent guesses based on a couple of factors.

First is how well a delegate performed during the preliminary competition. The preliminaries are basically a long swimsuit and evening gown competition, a grueling 2-3 hour event where each of the 82 delegates parades on stage one after the other. As you can imagine you have to stand out to get through and make the cut. This year the preliminary competition was broadcast live via U-Stream making reasonably good quality versions available on the web. This gave most pageant fans a chance to make better choices when selecting their winners.

Other factors that we don’t get to see however but are equally as important is the panel interview – where delegates meet with the preliminary judges and are asked a series of questions. The pageant organizers are also given a free hand at selecting some of the semifinalists although this number has never been published. The so-called Trump’s discretion however is important and must be taken into consideration also. You may think that this ain’t fair – and perhaps to a certain degree it ain’t. But at the end of the day the Miss Universe title is a job – and the organization should have a say at who they select to hold the responsibility.

Having said that here are my picks for 2009.

TOP 5

domrep1 – Dominican Republic (Gut Pick): A pageant veteran, even considered a front runner to win Ms World a few years back, Ada Aimee De la Cruz is to me the strongest delegate this year. Her long legs and trim figured make her excellent in swimsuit, and her walk is one of the best, very confident and polished. She is also undeniably very, very stunning and exudes a big presence on stage. I believe she’d make a good miss Universe. And I think its about time we have a stunning brown beauty wearing the crown don’t you think?

france1 – France (My Pick): If you look closely right after Ms. Venezuela was crowned last year, she did this yeah I won reaction with her fist – a very playful gesture that was un-beauty queen like but in a good way. It showed that she had a very cool and quirky demeanor – not the pageant queen type of attitude. I see the same vibe in Chloe Mortaud. I think she’d make a great Miss Universe. She did really well in the preliminaries and am pretty sure she will sail through to the Top 5 with ease. If all goes well her natural beauty and fresh could very well give her the title. As a plus she is one of the few Ms. France’s that I‘ve seen that can speak good English.

southafrica3 – South Africa: If you take a look at her photos on the net, Tatum Keshwar doesn’t stand out if compared with other girls. But even if she isn’t the most beautiful lady in the pageant – she is striking on stage. I can’t really put my foot on it but she oozes with that all important X-Factor on stage. Coupled with good speaking skills, and a fresh demeanor. She is a strong contender for the title. I consider her a shoo in for the Top 5 as well.

southafrica4 – Venezuela: To be completely honest Stefania Fernandez didn’t do as well as expected during the preliminaries. I didn’t quite like her posture and her evening gown styling. But really if you take away all that make up, she has one of the most beautiful and fresh faces of the pageant. My wish for her is that she tones it down a bit and goes with a more natural look for the pageant. I know a lot of people have taken her off their lists but I am taking a risk and putting her as high as number 4. She has such a bubbly personality and sash-factor aside she could very well make it a back to back win for Venezuela.

thailand5 Indonesia: Not the most gorgeous of all the Asians but I think the strongest of all the Asian delegates this year. During the preliminaries Zivanna Letisha Siregar did really well. Her long legs helped her stand out during the swimsuit competition. And she did reasonably well in the evening gown segment. I think she will do really well and can very well land in the Top 5.

TOP 10

russia6 – Russia: Sofia Rudyeva is classy, elegant, and sophisticated. Her web interview shows maturity and intelligence too. Having said that though there seems to have been an issue concerning racy nude photos that she took when she was 15. Based on my assessment this could hurt her chances of winning the title. However – performance wise, there is no doubt that she deserves to be in the Top 10. I’m placing her as high as 6.

australia7 – Australia: An early front-runner Rachael Finch of Australia’s is another one of those natural beauties, with a bubbly personality. I’d like for her to go far, but she seems to lack that certain pizzaz when on stage and I am afraid that come pageant night that will affect her chances. If she can turn it on I am quite sure she can go all the way to win the title.

usa8 – USA: I personally think she is a pageant patty. All her moves seem calculated – for example how she tentatively went into a spin during the evening gown preliminary competition in an attempt to get her dress to fly into the air for added drama. I must admit that Kristen Dalton is stunningly beautiful, and expect her to go far. But I don’t see her winning the title this year. I could be wrong but my guy says otherwise.

czech9 – Czech Republic: A tall stunning blonde Lveta Lutovska is another strong contender who underwhelmed during the preliminaries. I think however that her performance is strong enough to make it to the Top 10. She has lovely lines, a great body and a beautiful face. I am just not convinced that she has that youthful look that judges look for. Expect her to do well nonetheless.

colombia10 – Colombia: I wish she had not cut her hair because she was stunning. But still her presence on stage more than makes up for it. Michelle Rouillard is a long shot for the title, but I expect her to get through and do well. She speaks excellent English and aside from having a great personality she seems to be very intelligent as well.

TOP 15

philippines11 – Philippines: The entire decade has seen a drought for Miss Philippines. And even if I think she could have done much better in the semis I save a spot on my list for Bianca Manalo. She is probably the most beautiful delegate from Asia, but doesn’t have the best body to match. Her problem however was that she seems to have rushed through her preliminary walks. That aside I think she is a great delegate and perhaps also because of national pride I think she could pretty well make it. I hope she does well.

puertorico12 – Puerto Rico: When I saw videos of Mayra Matos Perez win Miss Puerto Rico I knew she would be a tough contender at this year’s pageant. But she was lack luster during the prelims. To be honest probably not enough to get into the Top 15, but I want to give her another chance, considering that other factors are in play. She was stunning when competing for her national title, if she can bring that back she can go much further. Win even.

mexico13 – Mexico: I’m not a big fan of Karla Carrillo but her toned down, natural look during the preliminary evening gown competition made me take a second look at her. She is here to compete for sure and I think she will bring all the Latina fire to her game if she makes it. I don’t think she will perform anywhere close to her predecessor though. She tries hard but in the end I think she will miss the mark for the title.

belgium14 – Belgium: I really hope the judges don’t overlook Zeynep Sever. She has a unique look, not the traditional pageant type – but very lovely nonetheless. I think she competed well and deserves a slot in the Top 15. Aside from her cute face, she has a great body and competed well in the swimsuit competition. Am hoping she wears something else in the evening gown though as her dress was just so-so. That’s it if she makes it that far.

japan15 – Japan: Most experts will say that Japan won’t make the cut. Her evening gown presentation was flawed, but she has such a stunning face. My hopes is that she gets in c/o a Trump card. If she does, I’m quite sure she will get into the top 10 and if she and changes her evening gown will make it to the Top 5 and could very well win the title.

ALTERNATES:

Any of the remaining 7 would be welcome replacements to my Top 15

Netherlands
Jamaica
Ghana
Honduras
China
Guatemala
Spain

WILD CARD:

Not my picks but would not be surprised if they made an appearance in the Top 15:

United Kingdom
Vietnam
Bahamas